SGA and the Thunder Look to Stay Hot Against Bucks in MVP Showdown
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is putting on an MVP-caliber season, and he’ll look to strengthen his case when the Oklahoma City Thunder (55-12) take on the Milwaukee Bucks (38-28) on Sunday night. Bettors should take note—SGA has been an absolute scoring machine, dropping 48 points in Saturday’s 113-107 win over the Pistons. That marks his 12th 40+ point game this season, including four 50+ point performances.
With the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic as his main competition for the award, Gilgeous-Alexander understands that winning is a major factor in the race. The Thunder hold a commanding 12.5-game lead in the West, and SGA leads the league with a 33.0 PPG average, adding 6.2 assists and 5.1 rebounds per game. OKC has won nine of their last 10 and is covering spreads at a high rate, making them a strong bet down the stretch.
The Bucks, meanwhile, are looking to build momentum after back-to-back wins following a three-game skid. Giannis Antetokounmpo, who isn’t getting as much MVP buzz, continues to put up massive numbers—he’s averaging 30.6 PPG, 12.1 RPG, and 5.9 APG this season. He had 34 points, 10 boards, and seven assists before fouling out in Milwaukee’s 126-119 win over Indiana on Saturday.
Bettors should keep an eye on injuries—OKC was without Jalen Williams (hip) and Chet Holmgren (rest) against Detroit, and Luguentz Dort left with a hip injury. Holmgren is expected to play Sunday, while Williams and Dort remain questionable.
When these teams met in February, the Thunder dominated 125-96 at home. SGA dropped 34 in that game, but the Bucks were missing both Giannis (knee) and Damian Lillard (groin). This time, Milwaukee is at full strength, setting up a more competitive rematch.
Key Betting Trends:
✔️ Thunder: 9-1 in their last 10 games, strong ATS performer this season.
✔️ Bucks: 2-3 in their last five, but won two straight; still inconsistent under Doc Rivers.
✔️ SGA Scoring Prop: Averaging 37.5 PPG over his last four—worth a look.
✔️ Bucks Offense: Shooting 54% last game, but turnovers (17) remain a concern.
Betting Angle: If Gilgeous-Alexander keeps up this scoring pace and OKC continues their dominance, the Thunder could be a strong ATS pick, depending on the spread. With both teams coming off wins, the over could also be in play if the pace stays fast. Keep an eye on injury updates before locking in bets.
