2 FREE NCAAF PICKS – TULANE vs HOUSTON
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Free NFL Picks on this Week 5 Thursday Night Football game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears.
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Let’s get into this game where the NFL odds opened this game with the Bucs being a -6 point favorite, but the line has now dropped to them just a -3.5 point favorite and over/under currently at 44 total points. The betting public has 81% of their money on Tampa Bay as the road favorites.
Tampa Bay comes into this game 3-1 overall this season after beating the Chargers at home last Sunday, 38-31. Tom Brady led the Bucs to a win after trailing by 17 points, He threw for 30 of 46 completions for 369 total yards, 5 touchdown and 1 interception. Brady will be going up against this Bears defense who’s ranked seventh in the league, only giving up an average of 20.2 points per game. Tampa Bay is ranked eighth in the league on offense putting up an average of 30 points per game. The Bucs wide receiver Chris Godwin missed the previous game and did not practice on Tuesday and unlikely will suit up Thursday. The other star wide receiver, Mike Evans has a right ankle sprain, and it’s up in the air if he will be in Thursday’s lineup.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games on the road and the total has gone over in 15 of the Buccaneers last 18 games.
Chicago Bears come into this game 3-1 overall and sitting second in the NFC North behind the 4-0 Green Bay Packers. Nick Foles first start last week against the Colts wasn’t impressive at all. He went for 26 of 42 completions for just 249 total yards, 1 touchdown and an interception. Their run game wasn’t anywhere to be found last week either and if they want any shot to beat the Bucs, David Montgomery will need to step it up on the ground and we’ll be playing his player prop to go over 49.5 total yards at the -115 price. The Bears offense is towards the bottom in the league only putting up an average of 21.2 points per game.
Chicago is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against an opponent in the NFC South.
The total has gone under in 7 of the Bears last 10 games when playing as the underdog, but the over is 8-0 in the Buccaneers last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Our numbers show the best opportunity to make money on this Thursday Night Football game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears is to take the Bears First Half Team Total Over 9.5 points at the -120 price.
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