Let’s get into this matchup where the Heat are -5.5 point favorites and the over/under is currently at 222.5 total points. These two teams played each other on Saturday in Miami where the Heat blew them out 124-105 without all star Jimmy Butler and he’s been ruled out again for this matchup.
Miami comes into this game currently in the 4th spot in the Easter Conference at 36-20 overall, but need to dramatically improve their home record of 13-17 if they want any shot to make it far in a playoff run. On the road they only score an average of 108 points per game, while giving up an average of 111 points per game on defense. Miami is 8-1 against the spread in their last 9 games against Cleveland and the total has gone over in 14 of the Heat last 19 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
Cleveland comes into this game with the second worst record in the league behind the Golden State Warriors at 15-41 overall and 7-22 at home this season. The Cavs at home score an average of 107.4 points per game while defensively give up an average of 115.4 points per game. Cleveland is 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Southeast Division and the total has gone under in 4 of the Cavs last 5 games.
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