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Monday’s Sports Betting preview for this Monday Night College Football Week 1 game between BYU Cougars vs Navy Midshipmen.
The College Football odds currently have Navy as -1.5 point favorites. The over/under opened up at 53.5 total points but it’s moved now to 48 total points.
The betting public has 52% of their money on the Midshipmen.
BYU comes into this game off a 7-6 overall record in the 2019 season and looking to improve with quarterback Zach Wilson taking the helm. Wilson earned the role as the starter for the 2019 season, but was sidelined in the middle of the season due to injury. In the nine games he did start last season, he threw for 2,382 yards, 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions.
The Cougars were ranked 28th nationally in total offense with an average of 443.8 yards per game, but only managed to score an average of 28.5 points per game due to their red zone offense efficiency and turnovers.
The X factor in this game for BYU will be two things, #1 will the Cougars offensive line be able to protect Wilson and open up pockets to get the job done on the ground for their backs and #2 will their impressive run defense from last year, that only allowed 4.2 yards per carry, be able to slow down this Navy’s triple option.
BYU is 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 games and the total has gone under in 4 of the Cougars last 6 games against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference.
Navy comes into this game fresh off an impressive 11-2 season, including covering the spread in 10 out those 13 games. They’ll be without their stud quarterback Malcolm Perry, who got drafted in the 7th round and now playing as a running back in the NFL for the Dolphins. Senior Dalen Morris beat out Perry Olsen for the starting position and will step in to lead Navy’s triple-option system. Navy’s defense lacks experience in the secondary, so expect Wilson and BYU’s offense to put up at least 3 touchdowns.
The Midshipmen was number one in the nation in rushing, averaging 355 yards per game on the ground, but those numbers should decrease substantially with Morris leading the triple option now.
Navy is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games.
Our numbers show the best opportunity to make money on this BYU vs Navy game is to go ahead and play BYU’s Team Total to go over the 23.5 Total Points at the -130 price.
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