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Free Picks and Predictions on this College Football Week 11 game between the Florida State Seminoles vs NC State Wolfpack. This matchup is set to kickoff on Saturday, November 14th at 7:30pm et at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina.
The line opened up with NC State as -6.5 points favorites but it has now moved to them as -10.5 point favorites due to numerous things including the announcement of Florida State’s wide receiver leaving the team and key injuries on both the offense and defense, including uncertainty at the starting quarterback position. It looks like it’s leaning towards the Seminoles true freshman Chubba Purdy to get the start over Jordan Travis. The over/under moved from 61 to now 59 total points.
Florida State comes into this game with a program still in disarray after back-to-back blowout losses to Louisville and Pittsburgh. Their brightest moment last week was their 14-3 lead against Pittsburgh which they squandered away, losing 41-17. That makes the Seminoles now 2-5 overall this season and in desperate need of an upset win.
Head Coach Mike Norvell should commit more to the run in this game, so expect La’Damian Webb and Jashaun Corbin to have an impressive performance. FSU is scoring an average of 18.8 points per game, while on defense ranked 109 out of 130 in the nation, giving up a miserable 37.8 points per game.
Florida State is 3-12 against the spread in their last 15 games against NC State and the total has gone over in 10 of the Seminoles last 12 games played in November.
NC State comes into this game 4-3 overall after a 44-41 wild loss to Miami last week. They were up 41-37 with just 4 minutes left, but the Wolfpack defense just couldn’t stop the Hurricanes Quarterback D’Eriq King, who went for 430 yards and 5 touchdowns including the game winning touchdown throw with two minutes left to Mike Harley.
Quarterback Bailey Hockman looks like he has his rhythm going, he went 19 of 28 for 248 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception against Miami, but their ground game still needs some work. Florida State struggles with tackling and staying in proper gaps, so Running Backs Ricky Person and Zonovan Knight should be able to put up bigger numbers compared to last week.
The Wolfpack is putting up an average 32.9 points per game on offense and giving up 35.6 points per game on defense. NC State is 7-0 against the spread in their last 7 games when playing at home against FSU and the total has gone over in 6 of the Wolfpacks last 7 games against an opponent in the ACC.
The best opportunity to make money on this Florida State Seminoles vs NC State Wolfpack game is to roll with FSU team total over 23 points at the -127 price.
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