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The line opened up with the Patriots being -7 point favorites, but it’s moved to -9.5 after the news that Sam Darnold was ruled out as a starter for the Jets due to his shoulder injury. The currently over/under has it at 41 total points.
The betting public has 58 percent of their money behind the Patriots as road favorites. These two teams last met last year where New England as a -9.5 point favorite on the road shut out the Jets 33-0.
The Patriots come into this game in desperate need of a win after dropping their last four and putting them 2-5 overall this season. This is the perfect opportunity to get one against this horrible Jets team. Last week they kept it close against the Bills the entire game mostly, but Cam Newton had a subpar game, going for just 15 of 25 completions for 174 total yards. We think he’ll finally step it up this game and we’re going to go ahead and roll with his Player Prop to have go over 19.5 pass completions at the +106 price.
On offense the Patriots are near the bottom in the league only scoring an average of 19.4 points per game. On defense they are ranked twelfth in the league giving up an average of 23.9 points per game.
New England is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against the New York Jets and the total has gone over in 4 of the Patriots last 5 games on the road.
The Jets come into this game 0-8 overall and quite possible could go 0-16 this season the way they have been looking on both sides on the ball this season. Like I mentioned earlier, they’ll be without their quarterback, Sam Darnold and Joe Flacco is likely to get the start.
New York is coming off a 35-9 slaying last week on the road against the Chiefs. The Jets have the worse offense in the nation, putting up only an average of 11.8 points per game. They also have one of the worse defenses in the league, giving up an average of 29.8 points per game.
New York is 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC and the total has gone under in 7 of the Jets’ last 8 games against New England.
The best opportunity to make money on this New England Patriots vs New York Jets game is to roll with the Patriots First Quarter -0.5 points at the -120 price.
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