NFL Betting -- Forget Brady vs. Manning For a Minute; Who Can RUN It Better?

 

We admit this was not the case on November 24, when New England rallied from a 24-point halftime deficit to win in overtime In that one,. Brady passed for 344 yards while Manning had just 150. But there were extraneous circumstances, as we'll explain.  

 

This showdown kicks off at Sports Authority Field at Mile High at 3 PM ET, and in the NFL betting odds that have been posted on this AFC title game at BetAnySports, the Broncos, playing at home, are the favorites: 

 

Denver Broncos  -5.5

New England Patriots  +5.5 

Over 55.5 points  -110

Under 55.5 points  -110

 

Do you think Manning is the greatest quarterback of all-time? Or at least of OUR time? Well, Brady has a 10-4 edge in victories in the fourteen times these two quarterbacks oppose each other. Were there other factors involved in those New England victories? You bet there were. Some of the time it was the better supporting cast that Brady enjoyed with the Patriots, while the Colts were perhaps a little too dependent on Manning's arm alone. As veteran football bettors remember, this had a tendency to handicap Indy when the weather was not all that agreeable. 

 

The winner of this game may well be determined by who can run the ball better, or more to the point, who can DEFEND the run better. One thing is for certain - there is no reason for either of these teams NOT to run the ball, as a major component of the attack, not just a diversion. 

 

Consider that the Patriots have to be considered a bit soft right now up the gut in the defensive front. They have been missing the likes of tackle Vince Wilfork and Tommy Kelly, not to mention  linebacker Jarod Mayo. And Brandon Spikes  was lost as well before the playoff win over the Indianapolis Colts. BetAnySports customers may ask themselves, can a capable back do some business against them? Ask Knowshon Moreno (1038 yards on the season), who knifed through the Pats for 224 yards in that first meeting, which kind of explains why Manning didn't need to throw for more than 150 to get his team out in front and in position for a win. 

 

LaGarrette Blount most likely has created some off-the-field problems for himself, and he was not used with a lot of frequency by Bill Belichick until later in the season, but when the timing demanded it, he became a beast. There is no other way to put it; he had 76 yards against Baltimore in the 41-7 victory in the season's 15th game, then, in the regular season finale against Buffalo, he ran for 189 yards. Last week he ripped through Indianapolis for 166 yards and four touchdowns. He has scored eight TD's in the last three games.

 

What he gives this team, which had 234 yards on the ground against the Colts, is true depth a running back, because they can turn to Stevan Ridley (773 yards in regular season) to give Blount a break and also utilize Shane Vereen as more of a rushing-receiving threat. This is more than just a diversion just so Brady can do what Pats REALLY excel at; this is perhaps the main power that propels the engine now. New England scored six touchdowns against Indy, without Brady having to throw a touchdown pass.  And that was quite a revelation to NFL bettors. 

 

It is not out of line to envision a scenario where each team feels a need to do what it can to keep the other quarterback off the field for as long as possible. That would then necessitate some success in the run game. And that would also be something for football bettors to look at when evaluating the total. As for who stops the run better, well, that prize would have to go to Denver, which has allowed just 3.9 yards per carry, compared to 4.5 for the Pats. Maybe THAT'S the difference-maker. It is definitely something to think about. 

 

By the way, you shouldn't think twice about making BetAnySports your home for the best in NFL betting for the remaining games, including the Super Bowl!

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